{
  "source_fit": "/Users/jim/_mymods/sprfmo/jmMSE26/output/base-model-mcmc-2026-09-10/fit.rds",
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-09-10T21:40:43Z",
  "package_versions": {
    "adnuts": "1.1.2",
    "posterior": "1.7.0",
    "ggplot2": "4.0.3",
    "jsonlite": "2.0.0"
  },
  "dimensions": {
    "saved_iterations_per_chain": 2000,
    "chains": 3,
    "warmup_per_chain": 1000,
    "retained_per_chain": 1000,
    "retained_total": 3000,
    "active_parameters": 1593,
    "variables_including_lp": 1594
  },
  "thresholds": {
    "maximum_rhat": 1.01,
    "minimum_bulk_ess": 400,
    "minimum_tail_ess": 400,
    "minimum_ebfmi": 0.3,
    "allowed_divergences": 0,
    "allowed_max_treedepth_hits": 0
  },
  "parameter_checks": {
    "denominator": 1593,
    "passing": 1227,
    "failing_any": 366,
    "rhat_above_1_01": 220,
    "bulk_ess_below_400": 329,
    "tail_ess_below_400": 95,
    "undefined_diagnostics": 0,
    "parameters_with_nonfinite_draws": 0,
    "parameters_constant_in_any_chain": 0,
    "maximum_finite_rhat": 1.05475198710002,
    "minimum_finite_bulk_ess": 83.3947671415924,
    "minimum_finite_tail_ess": 150.260537446818
  },
  "sampler_checks": {
    "chains": 3,
    "passing_chains": 3,
    "divergent_transitions": 0,
    "max_treedepth_hits": 0,
    "minimum_finite_ebfmi": 0.983753244279936
  },
  "lp_diagnostics": {
    "variable": "lp__",
    "is_parameter": false,
    "mean": -1607.07032333333,
    "median": -1606.53,
    "sd": 27.5196777612581,
    "q2.5": -1662.02175,
    "q25": -1625.94,
    "q75": -1588.2175,
    "q97.5": -1555.1355,
    "mcse_mean": 0.906966038069366,
    "rhat": 1.00116267979847,
    "ess_bulk": 921.783500019323,
    "ess_tail": 1636.50576570558,
    "nonfinite_draws": 0,
    "stuck_chains": 0,
    "rhat_above_1_01": false,
    "bulk_ess_below_400": false,
    "tail_ess_below_400": false,
    "diagnostics_nonfinite": false,
    "passes_parameter_checks": true,
    "diagnostic_status": "passes screening"
  },
  "screening_status": "fails reported screening",
  "inference_note": "Sampling diagnostics fail; retained-draw intervals and marginals are exploratory and should not be used for inference.",
  "selected_plot_variables": ["fmort[154]", "log_q_ind[5]", "fmort[151]", "log_q_ind[4]", "mean_log_rec[1]", "lp__"],
  "diagnostic_warnings": [],
  "notes": ["Active parameter counts exclude lp__; lp__ is assessed separately.", "Rhat is posterior's rank-normalized split Rhat; ESS is bulk/tail ESS across all retained chains.", "MCSE of the mean is computed using retained draws and preserved chain structure.", "E-BFMI is mean(diff(energy)^2)/var(energy) within each retained chain.", "All warmup counts refer to saved iterations, as represented by fit$warmup.", "Model parameters retain their native ADMB scales; no scientific derived quantities are inferred."]
}