{
  "status": "complete; calculations and identity checks passed",
  "model": "h1_1.06",
  "retained_draws": 3000,
  "chains": 3,
  "draws_per_chain": 1000,
  "years": [
    2007,
    2008,
    2009,
    2010,
    2011,
    2012,
    2013,
    2014,
    2015,
    2016,
    2017,
    2018,
    2019,
    2020,
    2021,
    2022,
    2023,
    2024,
    2025,
    2026
  ],
  "definition": "Kobe green: SSB / mean(annual SSBMSY, 2017\u20132026) > 1 AND mean-age summed fleet F / annual FMSY < 1.",
  "boundary_rule": "Strict inequalities; equality at either boundary falls outside the green quadrant.",
  "probability_estimator": "Number of retained draws in green in each year divided by 3000, equally weighting the three chains.",
  "mcmc_uncertainty": "MCSE uses the chain-preserving binary event indicator and posterior::mcse_mean; ESS uses posterior::ess_mean. Constant indicators have NA diagnostic entries.",
  "zero_counts": "A zero count records the observed retained draws; the estimate remains conditional on finite MCMC exploration.",
  "interpretation": "Exploratory posterior probabilities conditional on the base model; further sampling is needed to improve full-model chain agreement.",
  "previous_100_draw_check": {
    "rows": 2000,
    "max_b_difference": 5.10702591327572e-15,
    "max_f_difference": 5.329070518200751e-15
  },
  "terminal": {
    "year": 2026,
    "green_draws": 837,
    "retained_draws": 3000,
    "probability_green": 0.279,
    "chain1_probability": 0.278,
    "chain2_probability": 0.298,
    "chain3_probability": 0.261,
    "indicator_rhat": 1.005229486719882,
    "indicator_ess_mean": 1798.4174928523548,
    "probability_mcse": 0.010577836974021908,
    "indicator_varies": true
  },
  "packages": {
    "R": "R version 4.6.1 (2026-06-24)",
    "posterior": "1.7.0"
  },
  "independent_validation": "Python reconstruction from annual SSBMSY, SSB, F and FMSY reproduces all 60000 indicators, 20 annual probabilities and 60 chain summaries."
}