Task Group (TG) — 2026 Meeting Schedule & Agendas

SPRFMO

South Pacific Regional Fisheries Management Organisation
Jack Mackerel Working Group

Task Group (TG) — 2026 Meeting Schedule & Agendas

Chair: J. Ianelli | All meetings: Online (Zoom/Teams) | 14:00–15:30 CET

08:00–9:30 Lima (PET) 09:00-10:30 Santiago (CLT)


AT-A-GLANCE SCHEDULE

Table 1
Meeting Date Topic Key Milestone
TG-01 Thu 26 March 2026 Post-Commission Kickoff
TG-02 Thu 9 April 2026 WP1 Launch & Benchmark Preparation → Leads to: Benchmark Workshop, Lima (May)
TG-03 Thu 30 April 2026 Final Pre-Benchmark Preparation → Leads to: Benchmark Workshop, Lima (~12–16 May)
TG-04 Thu 28 May 2026 Post-Lima / Pre-Intersessional Debrief → Leads to: MSE-02 draft performance metrics
TG-05 Thu 11 June 2026 Pre-Wageningen Final Preparation → Leads to: MSE Workshop, Wageningen, 15–19 June 2026
TG-06 Thu 9 July 2026 Post-Wageningen: CMP Shortlist Review → SC14 paper drafting begins
TG-07 Thu 13 August 2026 Pre-SC14 Draft Review → Leads to: SC14 (September 2026)
TG-08 Fri 28 August 2026 Final SC14 Paper Sign-off → SC14 submission deadline
TG-09 Thu 8 October 2026 Post-SC14 Debrief & Commission Prep → Leads to: Commission decision (Nov/Dec 2026)
TG-10 Thu 12 November 2026 WP4 Report Review & Year-End Close → SC15 / archive

Regular = 2nd Thursday of month. Extra = milestone-driven additional call.

2026 PROGRAMME MILESTONES (FOR REFERENCE)

Table 2
Month Event Deliverable Output for
May 2026 Benchmark Workshop — Lima (Peru) Candidate assessment models SC Intersessional
Late May 2026 SC Intersessional meeting Approved OM for MSE Wageningen workshop
Jun 15–19 MSE Workshop — Wageningen (WMR/NL) CMP shortlist SC14 document
Sep 2026 SC14 — Scientific Committee CMP recommendation Commission decision
Nov 2026 WP4 final deliverable Technical report + source code SC15 / archive

SPRFMO Jack Mackerel MSE — Technical Group (TG) Session Agenda Plan 2026

Five 2-hour TG sessions (March–June 2026) leading to the Lima Benchmark (early May) and the Wageningen MSE Workshop (16 June). Each session covers topics for discussion and decisions; where consensus cannot be reached, the decision is deferred one session. Based on Carruthers et al. (2024) MSE roadmap phases.

Colour legend: White = discussion topics Yellow = items requiring decision Grey = pre-meeting preparation Blue = linked working papers

Table 3
TC Date Main Topics for Discussion Topics Requiring Decision Pre-meeting Prep WPs
TG-01 — 26 Mar 2026 15:00 CET
1 26 Mar
2026
15:00
CET
  • Review & endorse working paper plan (10 WPs: Benchmark, Wageningen, SC14)
  • Sequence and allocation of technical topics across TG-02 to TG-05
  • Identify which decisions need two sessions (prepare → conclude)
  • Endorse WP plan; confirm all lead authors (SCW16-03 needs volunteer)
  • Agree topic schedule TG-02 through TG-05 — frames all subsequent work
Chair circulates: SCW16-01 draft, SCW16-02 draft, WP plan, Carruthers roadmap summary, proposed topic allocation. All ≥5 working days before. SCW16-01
SCW16-02
Plan doc
TG-02 — 9 Apr 2026 15:00 CEST
2 9 Apr
2026
15:00
CEST
  • Selectivity: block-based alternatives (SCW16-01 §6.1) vs time-varying; fleet implications
  • Reference points: fixed RPs vs dynamic BMSY/FMSY — pros, cons, RFMO precedent
  • S-R alternatives: simplified options (single BH, regime variants) from SCW16-01 §6.2 — initial reaction
  • Indices (SCW16-03): inventory of all 7, CPUE standardisation, index–biomass proportionality
  • Uncertainty dimensions most consequential for long-term projections
  • Discuss selectivity block options — narrow to ≤2 candidates (conclude TG-03)
  • Discuss reference point approach — identify preferred direction (conclude TG-03)
  • Confirm SCW16-03 lead and scope; agree index standardisation methodology
SCW16-01 §6.1–6.3 fitted diagnostics; SCW16-03 outline; updated topic schedule from TG-01 SCW16-01
SCW16-03
TG-03 — 30 Apr 2026 15:00 CEST
3 30 Apr
2026
15:00
CEST
  • CONCLUDE selectivity: agree block structure(s) for OM conditioning
  • CONCLUDE reference points: agree fixed benchmark RPs; document rationale
  • Far North treatment (SCW16-01 §6.4): options for h1/h2 consistency
  • OM grid design (SCW16-04): reference set vs robustness set; which uncertainty axes in each tier
  • Benchmark handoff: define minimum outputs needed for TG-04 to proceed
  • Agree selectivity block structure for OM (carried from TG-02)
  • Agree fixed reference point approach (carried from TG-02)
  • Agree harmonised Far North treatment for both stock hypotheses
  • Agree OM grid structure: axes, tiers (reference set vs robustness set)
  • Agree criteria for OM reconditioning decision at TG-04
SCW16-01 §6.4 draft; SCW16-03 first full draft; SCW16-04 outline with OM grid sketch; Chair circulates 'Benchmark handoff checklist' SCW16-01
SCW16-03
SCW16-04
TG-04 — 28 May 2026 15:00 CEST
4 28 May
2026
15:00
CEST
  • Lima Benchmark debrief: model simplification, indices, OM design — what was agreed and what remains open
  • CRITICAL FORK: Recondition on Benchmark OM outputs OR proceed with SC13-based OM
  • Stock-hypothesis: using base case + robustness tests to derive advice; attempt consensus
  • Performance metrics (MSE-02): conservation (P(B
  • MP families: candidate model-free (DLMtool) and model-based (multi-index, surplus production)
  • CRITICAL: Recondition OM on Benchmark outputs OR proceed with SC13-based OM — gates Wageningen scope
  • Agree S-R priors (steepness, σR) and recruitment regime treatment across all OMs
  • Discuss stock-hypothesis treatment for advice — to conclude at TG-05
  • Endorse draft performance metrics and time horizons (5/10/20+ yr) — to finalise at TG-05
Lima Benchmark summary circulated after meeting; BM MSE-02 draft performance metrics SCW16-04
MSE-02
SCW16-01 outcomes
TG-05 — 11 Jun 2026 15:00 CEST
5 11 Jun
2026
15:00
CEST
  • CONCLUDE stock-hypothesis: close from TG-04 (or confirm fallback)
  • CONCLUDE performance metrics: finalise metric list, time horizons, risk tolerance for Wageningen
  • MP specifications (MSE-01): technical freeze — data streams, tuning targets, HCR, Buffer/K60
  • Robustness scenario matrix: finalise all scenarios entering Wageningen (MSE-03)
  • Cross-platform validation: FLR vs RTMB/OpenMSE — metrics, responsibilities (WMR/CHL/PER), timeline
  • Wageningen logistics: trade-off format (Slick, worm plots, Kobe-style); decision-making protocol
  • Conclude stock-hypothesis (from TG-04)
  • Finalise performance metrics list, time horizons and risk tolerance
  • Freeze MP specifications: no new MPs added after this TG
  • Agree complete robustness scenario matrix (reference set + robustness set)
  • Agree cross-platform validation protocol and assign responsibilities
  • Agree Wageningen communication and decision-making format
Full drafts MSE-01 and MSE-03; Slick/trade-off prototype if available; updated OM status note from WMR MSE-01
MSE-02
MSE-03

Notes: (1) If Lima Benchmark endorses reconditioning the OM, TG-04 agenda must adjust to incorporate benchmark outcomes before Wageningen. (2) The stock-hypothesis weighting decision (TG-04) is a potential sticking point — plan extra time or a dedicated sub-group call if no consensus at TG-03. (3) All working paper drafts should be circulated at least 5 working days before each TG.